Points Simulations after 12 Games (A to S)

The current table is simply a single iteration of a multitude of inter connected possible outcomes, spread out over 120 individual matches that have been contested in the Premier League to date.

Each of those games has been decided by a variety of significant events, most notably goal attempts that have require the keeper to attempt a save. And while some have resulted in scores others have been saved. The outcomes are not set in stone, on another day, goals may have been saves and saves a cause for wild celebration.

Replaying these goal bound attempts, mindful of how likely such an attempt is to result in a goal based on such variables as location and shot type can convey the variation in the range of possible outcomes and ultimately match results.

In one particular parallel universe, Everton top the table, while in quite a few others Chelsea occupy 20th and bottom position.

The plots below give an idea of the distribution of points a side might have won if the league schedule to date was tipped into a probabilistic soup of shot base simulations.

The remaining teams will follow later, along with similar plots charting the range of current possible league positions after 12 matches.